PREDICTIONSAs the population continues to fall in Siberia, much of this area will eventually come under Chinese control, which will accelerate deforestation.Any possible future return of ethnic Russians from Ukraine or the Baltic, etc., into European Russia will be more than offset by the continuing surge in illegal/undocumented aliens from Central Asia and legal aliens from China, overloading outdated infrastructure.Overall, the total census-legal population will continue to fall and as it does, the percentage of Russians overall will decline even faster. Islam will grow considerably in influence. Putin’s long reign will ensure that the percentages of Asian and Chinese (who are willing to be subjected to crude living standards BETTER than in their homelands) will grow considerably as he continues to bear down on his own people.Global warming will improve arctic shipping and thus northern Siberian river transport = development prospects will improve there.Russia’s best and brightest will immigrate at higher and higher levels.The lack of immediate and significant long-term investment between 1991-1998, followed by practically no investment in same after that, will doom Russia’s future prospects for weaning itself from its reliance on natural resources. It’s no different now than in the 1500’s, when there were mainly furs and salt. Bad habits are hard to break.
Due to a lack of capital and long-term investment strategy, most farming and irrigation throughout Russia will be developed to first-world mechanized standards by the Chinese, restoring Russia’s greatest economic historical legacy; however, the scythe will never be abandoned in many marginal small plots and on hilly terrains, as there are still many Chinese farmers available for conscription. Russia’s attempts to maintain its only super-power status component via means of submarines and multiple-head ICBM’s (remember the name for this system: BOOLAVA. In Russian, this means a multi-headed mace) will ultimately meet universal resistance, to the great detriment of its positions in the United Nations, etc.Russia’s direct links with past Serbian atrocities will become more evident, though, like WMD’s, they will be kept understated for political expediency. Russia will demand a great deal more money from the United States for supplying the Space Station. This will not be nearly enough to maintain the old technologies as morale and quality control declineLife in Russia will continue to become more and more difficult for its most important necessarily forward-looking segment, women, and thus for their children as well. With fewer and fewer men available, more and more women (especially middle-aged) will have children alone and raise them in an extended family environment or around like-situation peers.As more and more children are raised in matriarchal family settings, they will be more and more pacifistic and compliant. They will fit Putin’s requirements very well. Something important will happen in Belorussia. This place is unique compared to the other formerly autonomous republics because less that 5% of the population is pure Belorussian; another 75% is a mixture of same plus Polish, Ukrainian and Russian, most of which claim wholly Belorussian ancestry. These folks have had a long reputation in Russia for being a bit crazy, so Stalin spread them out all over Siberia for dilution. Also, this place has very limited natural resources. Historically, it had a large Jewish base; maybe one day, part of it will become a new Jerusalem. Russia would love to control it again but, as with everything else, it lacks money and planning and resolve for this at-present unrewarding task. The West rightfully downgrades it as a dictatorship. It is a universally unloved buffer- state vacuum waiting for something to happen. Belorussia will always be inherently unstable because it’s on the border with Russia. The wolf pack could finish it off at any time, a fact which greatly discourages western investment.