(1991-Present) (*KEY*) The 90’s saw no considerable long-term Russian/western investment in plant and equipment, etc., so most of what short term funds went in came back out again soon after, with Russians investing in western real estate and capital markets. This made the devaluation of the ruble more acute and ensured that the ruble, like all of its historic predecessors, would remain a domestic currency of convenience only, only this time weakened like never before. The western-inspired voucher system, in which all state employees received ownership shares in their work enterprises, was a disaster; former Soviet Party members (mostly) used western capital to buy (at low cost) and consolidate ownership in various previously state assets, leaving the masses poorer than before because of the devalued currency. Senior citizens as a group were wiped out financially except for those few who converted rubles to dollars prior to devaluation. Members of the formerly Soviet bureaucracy became the basis for a new emerging middle class, along with those few, like highly- skilled doctors, with a valuable marketable skill. Otherwise, the 90’s meant a microscopic number of newly-defined rich getting richer and the already poor masses getting poorer. The last decade has seen a transition from an evolving-out-of-Soviet government to Soviet-with-a-mask-on government but (*KEY*) after 20 years there is still no inertia and no momentum. By comparison, it took 11 years (1918-1929) for momentum to be established by Stalin. The brief flirtation with western socio- political-economic influences is over. Russians didn’t like being dictated to by the constraints of long or short-term debt. Higher oil prices short term meant that the IMF and Paris Accord obligations could be met in full, especially because no significant money was spent domestically. Russia has, as well, closed its doors on the western world’s accounting standards. One event internationally of note was the recent 2008 Georgian province skirmish. Georgia
is a country much older than Russia, with a rich Christian history and very historically well-defined boundaries. During Soviet times, there were plenty of Russians living in Georgia but, as happened with many of the former autonomous republics after secession, most of the Russians left. This was not so in the northern Georgian provinces of Ossetia and Abkhazia---these two border the Russian Federation (Chechnya) on the southern base of the Caucasus mountain range and thus are very important strategically/morally to The Russian Federation. Most of the Russians leaving southern-central Georgia around 1991 moved into Abkhazia and Ossetia, as they would obviously prefer the weather, living conditions, etc., as well as Russian protection. This meant, to Russia, that the Georgians living in Abkhazia and Ossetia had to be driven out under some pretext to make room for the new Russian arrivals. These Georgians living in Abkhazia and Ossetia had been there for many hundreds of years, and of course they had no desire to leave. Also, all of the raw materials needed for cement to build the nearby 2014 Sochi Olympic facilities are in Abkhazia. So a little military skirmish promoting a Russian socially-engineered vision of independence for Ossetians and Abkhazis happened between mighty fortress Russia and Georgia, which of course Georgia lost, at least for now. A spat between a wolf and an ant-sized opponent caused Russia to be isolated in the international community issue-wise. Finally, happily, Russia won the rights to host Winter Olympic Games and The World Cup of Soccer. Unfortunately, mega-billions will be spent on these one-time events with very little long-term benefit for the great majority of its people.