© all rights reserved 2011
CURRENT POPULATION
SIBERIA About 70% of the population lives in European Russia, so
Siberia is the weak sister. Siberia is seeing a greater redistribution of its
non-indigenous people, as all of the sparsely USSR-conscript populated
areas are being vacated and Russians are moving near either a major
river or a railroad and as agriculture becomes less and less supportable.
As in the West, many young people leave the farm for cities where there
are both a river and a railroad; after that, some, especially bright young
men, then leave for Moscow and a stable future. As in European Russia,
all Siberian railroad/river cities have experienced major growth, though as
the overall population is dwindling, the rate of growth is slowing. From
east to west, the 4 main cities are Khabarovsk , on the border of the Far
East---(besides crime, typically, bureaucracy, trade), Irkutsk (academics,
bureaucracy, drug trafficking), Krasnoyarsk (heavy industry, trade) and
Novosibirsk (academics, industry, bureaucracy). There is one other
very important city downstream on the Yenisei River from Krasnoyarsk---
Norilsk, which has a small population but also one of the biggest mineral
deposits in the world. So everything people read about the great
importance of Russia being a great big place doesn’t translate to
population as well when it comes to Siberia: about 3 people per square
kilometer. Population-wise, it’s the Texas equivalent of “TALL HAT, NO
STEERS.”
Indigenous peoples in Siberia are re-asserting their pre-Soviet
heritages and are achieving greater autonomy. China is having a growing
influence via investment in urban businesses and by importing agricultural
capital and labor. Many Russians believe that China is restoring Russia’s
once proud agricultural legacy all over Russia, not just in Siberia. Many
Russians also believe that China will, by trickle-streaming workers into
Siberia and The Far East (like they are doing in Mongolia), will eventually
take over there without firing a shot.
EUROPEAN RUSSIA In 1991-92, 16 former Soviet Socialist
Republics, each with a non-Russian nationality majority except
Belorussia, seceded from the USSR and became independent countries.
Most of the densely populated ones were in Eastern Europe and the net
population loss overall was about 110 million people. This meant that
Russians living in these places returned to Russia, especially those living
in the Central Asian republics. There are still some places where
Russians have remained, like Ukraine, the Baltics, and northern
Georgia/Caucasus, where in this latter case there are national security
and economic issues which would preclude the Russian population ever
being less then that of the natives. Many who have returned to Russia
were connected to the military; most of them now work in the security and
insurance professions. European Russia’s population is centered
around the cities of Moscow and St. Petersberg, which between them
(including immediate surrounding environs) hold about 20% of the entire
country’s population. Besides being the center of political power and
finance, Moscow, with 75% of the population between them, is the
fortress-hub of all transportation and communication. With the recent re-
centralizing of all national power there, it is growing exponentially with no
end in sight. The comparatively low capital expenditure elsewhere means
that the populations outside Moscow and St. Petersberg are declining in
spite of all those people returning from Eastern Satellites and autonomous
republics.
Overall, about 75% of Russia’s overall population lives in cities, and this
percentage is expected to grow until foreigners move in to restore
agriculture. At present, the overall annual decline in Russia’s population is
estimated to be about 800,000 per year. 4 main factors contribute to this: 1.
The death rate exceeding the birth rate. This is influenced especially by
500,000 people dying each year due to alcohol-related causes. 2.
Abortions exceeding live births, by about 105-100. 3. A relatively high
median age. 4. Immigration. Russia’s birth rate is among the lowest in
the world among first-world countries, similar to Italy and Japan. The
government tried a financial incentive ($ 8000, to be awarded with strict
conditions after the 2nd child reaches 6 years old) but it failed. Meanwhile,
the birthrates of those in the former Asian Republics are among the highest
in the world, and many are moving illegally to Russia to work. One
interesting statistic about births among white-skinned Russians is the ratio of
males to females born after World War 2. Depending on which statistics are
read, on average, females are born much more frequently than males by
112(f)-100(m) or 53(f)-47(m). A popular theory explaining this reads that it
was a self-protective, evolutionary response to the great disproportionate
loss of male life (due to labor camps, war, purges, etc.) between 1930-1945.
Things should have balanced out by the end of the first post-war baby-
boomer generation, but the trend has continued. By the mid-80’s, there were
15 million more eligible women than men between the ages of 15-25 and the
trend has continued to this day. To make matter worse, adolescent/young
adult males are disproportionately exposed to tobacco, drugs, alcohol,
crime/gangs, bad eating habits, poor medical care, armed services hazing,
etc. , all of which have really reduced the desirable breeding gene pool for
the ladies, who are impeccably raised, usually as an only child. It’s really the
worst in Siberia, because many good men also leave for European Russia to
better themselves professionally. So young Russians are trickling out and
Asians are trickling in as those who remain just get older on average. Note:
the actual number of illegal immigrants (usually from Central Asia) is of
course unknown but has been guessed at between 8-15 million, with almost
all being men. This trend points to the continuing marginalization of the
male Russian nationality-based blue-collar work force; the number of
females, always the majority overall of this work force, is holding steady.
These recent immigrants have little support network beyond how their mini-
mafias work within a broader context of the Russian criminal network. An
exception to this is China: Their government pays fantastic bribes to obtain
counterfeit passports (meaning legitimate, but illegally obtained) for the great
majority of its workers, and each region has its own strong and independent
Chinese mafia. (*KEY*) ALWAYS REMEMBER that beginning in 1929,
Russia (then the USSR) began consuming its own people, reducing its
population via domestic policy. This is why some people have chosen a
variant title of Putin’s One Russia Party (in Russian) is The “We are eating
Russia” Party. This policy, though varied over time, has continued to this
day, and will continue unabated, ESPECIALLY now that Putin will remain in
power through 2024. This means that many MANY more Asians will
become residents if society is to be maintained.